2022 NBA Draft

Consensus Mock Draft: Smith likely No. 1, Banchero a lock at No. 3?

In the latest update, the top 3 picks are becoming clear, while several players are seeing their stock rise with less than a week to go until Draft night.

Dyson Daniels, who spent last season with G League Ignite, has seen his name rise on the various mock drafts.

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Some notes in what could be our last look (depending on whether writers update their mocks) before the 2022 NBA Draft, where the Orlando Magic are on the clock with the No. 1 pick.

Remember, the Consensus Mock Draft is a compilation of the best mock drafts around the web.We bring them together to provide a solid estimate of how the Draft could play out (Last update: June 21, 9:30 p.m. ET):

  • With the 2022 NBA Draft approaching, the Lottery is becoming more and more locked in, especially at the top. Since our last look just a few days ago, eight of our 12 mock drafts were updated and Jabari Smith is still looking like the pick for the Magic at No. 1. Ten of the 12 mocks have him going No. 1, with CBS Sports and USA Today as the only outliers, giving the nod to Gonzaga big man Chet Holmgren. While it’s not yet a complete consensus, it’s possible that could change by Draft night. (Last year, every mock had Cade Cunningham going first by the time Draft night rolled around.)
  • Speaking of Holmgren, 10 of the 12 mocks still have the Thunder taking him at No. 2. The lanky center should be off the board by the second pick.
  • With Holmgren off the board at No. 2, that leaves Houston with the easy decision of taking the best player left, which appears to be Duke’s Paolo Banchero. Twelve of the 12 mock drafts now have Banchero going to Houston, making it the only completely unanimous pick.
  • Jaden Ivey continues to look like a lock as the No. 4 pick to the Kings. Sacramento is pretty set in its backcourt with DeAaron Fox and Davion Mitchell, whom they took last season with the No. 9 pick, but Ivey could be too good to pass up. Will Sacramento grab the best player available or concentrate on the right fit for their roster?
  • Another player seeing his name all over the Lottery is Arizona’s Bennedict Mathurin. He comes off the board as high as No. 5 to the Pistons (ESPN and The Ringer) and as low as No. 9 to the Hornets (CBS Sports and SB Nation). The talented swingman seems to be a lock for the Lottery as he’s “drawing strong reviews on the private workout trail, excelling in competitive action, individual drills and interview sessions everywhere he’s visited thus far,” according to ESPN’s Jonathan Givony, who has him going to the Pistons at No. 5.
  • There seems to be some mystery around Baylor’s Jeremy Sochan, who shows up in the Lottery in nine of our 12 mock drafts. The talented defender is going as high as No. 6 to the Pacers (CBS Sports), most commonly to the Hornets at No. 15 (three times). Yahoo’s Kristen Peek said Sochan had “one of the best pro days during the Draft combine and showcased his speed and consistent 3-point jumper — something that he struggled with at Baylor.”
  • One player who continues to see his name climb up the mock drafts is Australian Dyson Daniels, who is taking the NBA G League route to the NBA. Daniels, who averaged 11.9 points, 7.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game with the G League Ignite, is linked heavily with the Trail Blazers at No. 7 (five mocks). Much like fellow Australian Josh Giddey, who was taken sixth overall last season, Daniels is a willing passer who could make an immediate impact in his first season. SI.com’s Jeremy Woo calls the 19-year-old “one of the most mature prospects in the Lottery and has been a standout in the pre-Draft process, endearing himself to teams in interviews, and measuring and shooting well at the combine.”
  • Keegan Murray should be hearing his name by the No. 6 pick. The 6-foot-8 forward out of Iowa appears as high as No. 4 to the Kings (SI.com and USA Today), either fifth or sixth in 10 of the 12 mock drafts, but no lower than No. 7 (CBS Sports).
  • Nine players appear in the lottery in all 12 mocks we survey: Smith, Holmgren, Banchero, Murray, Ivey, Sharpe, A.J. Griffin, Mathurin and Johnny Davis.

MOST COMMON PICKS

No. 1 (Magic): Jabari Smith (10)

No. 2 (Thunder): Chet Holmgren (10)

No. 3 (Rockets): Paolo Banchero (12)

No. 4 (Kings): Jaden Ivey (10)

No. 5 (Pistons): Keegan Murray (7)

No. 6 (Pacers): Bennedict Mathurin (5)

No. 7 (Trail Blazers): Dyson Daniels (5)

No. 8 (Pelicans): Dyson Daniels, Shaedon Sharpe (4)

No. 9 (Spurs): Jalen Duren (5)

No. 10 (Wizards): Johnny Davis (9)

No. 11 (Knicks): A.J. Griffin (6)

No. 12 (Thunder): Ousmane Dieng, Jeremy Sochan (3)

No. 13 (Hornets): Mark Williams (4)

No. 14 (Cavaliers): Ochai Agbaji (6)

Most common (above): Pick at which the player is most commonly projected, with number of mock drafts in parentheses. For example, Jabari Smith is projected to go 1st in 10 of the 12 mock drafts listed below.


Top 14 (below): To calculate the consensus, we award 14 points for every mock draft in which the player went first overall, 13 for second, continuing to one point for the final lottery pick. The player with the highest point total represents the top overall selection, which is as follows:

1. Jabari Smith | Orlando Magic

Auburn | Position: F | Height: 6-10 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 1 (10)

Has the size and length and picture-perfect shot to become an elite scorer and the versatility on defense to become a two-way star.


2. Chet Holmgren | Oklahoma City Thunder

Gonzaga | Position: F/C | Height: 7-0 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 2 (9)

His length and size make him an elite shot blocker on defense, but his skinny frame could hurt him against larger post players.


3. Paolo Banchero | Houston Rockets

Duke | Position: F | Height: 6-10 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 3 (11)

His size and athletic ability make him a perfect fit in today’s NBA. Should be able to contribute right away and eventually progress into a perennial All-Star.


4. Jaden Ivey | Sacramento Kings

Purdue | Position: G | Height: 6-4 | Prospect profile
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 4 (11)

Ultra-athletic guard in the mold of Ja Morant, he can create his own shot with a quick first step. Will need to improve defensively to become elite.


5. Keegan Murray | Detroit Pistons 

Iowa | Position: F | Height: 6-8 | Prospect profile
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 5 (6)

Good decision maker with the intelligence and athleticism to become a reliable defender on either big men or wings. Has steady jump shot that should improve with time.


6. Bennedict Mathurin | Indiana Pacers

Arizona | Position: SG | Height: 6-6 | Prospect profile
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 6 (3)

A willing shooter who established himself as one of the nation’s best shooters off the catch. His skillset should translate well to the NBA, where spacing should help him get his shot.


7. Dyson Daniels | Portland Trail Blazers

G League Ignite | Position: G/F | Height: 6-6 | Prospect profile
Status: G League
Most Common: 7 (5)

Australian playmaker who — like fellow countryman Josh Giddey — is an above-average passer with court vision and desire to facilitate for teammates. He is lockdown defender as well.


8. Shaedon Sharpe | New Orleans Pelicans

Kentucky | Position: SG | Height: 6-6 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 7 (4)

Athletic wing who can make a difference on both ends, with finishes around the rim and a reliable jump shot. Sat his freshman year at Kentucky, so the year layoff could affect his transition.


9. Jalen Duren | San Antonio Spurs

Memphis | Position: C | Height: 6-11 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 9 (4)

Young talent with big upside, a physically gifted big man who can finish around the rim. Potential to become top defender who can protect the rim and defend the pick-and-roll.


10. Johnny Davis | Washington Wizards

Wisconsin | Position: SG | Height: 6-5 | Prospect profile
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 10 (7)

A guard who likes to work in the paint, Davis has a midrange game that could translate well to the NBA. Has shown the desire and passion to become solid defender.


11. A.J. Griffin | New York Knicks

Duke | Position: G/F | Height: 6-6 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 11 (5)

One of the best scorers in the Draft, thanks to an arsenal of moves and a solid midrange game. He has the wingspan and size to become a lockdown defender.


12. Jeremy Sochan | Oklahoma City Thunder

Baylor | Position: F | Height: 6-8 | Prospect profile
Status: Freshman
Most Common: 9 (3)

His abilities on the defensive end make him a unique option; his versatility gives him the chance to contribute immediately as a position-less big man.


13. Ousmane Dieng | Charlotte Hornets

New Zealand Breakers (NZ) | Position: F | Height: 6-10 | Prospect profile
Status: International
Most Common: 12 (4)

Intriguing wing with great size, potential as a shot maker, and fluidity with the ball who faced a steep learning curve in his first season playing outside of France.


14. Mark Williams | Cleveland Cavaliers

Duke | Position: C | Height: 7-2 | Prospect profile
Status: Sophomore
Most Common: 13 (5)

Physical specimen with an absurd 9-foot-9 standing reach and great mobility for his dimensions that allowed him to be a force around the basket on both ends for most of his sophomore season.

Last update: June 21, 9:30 p.m. ET


MOCK DRAFTS

ESPN.com

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Bennedict Mathurin
6. Keegan Murray
7. Shaedon Sharpe
8. Dyson Daniels
9. Jalen Duren
10. Johnny Davis
11. A.J. Griffin
12. Ousmane Dieng
13. Jeremy Sochan
14. Ochai Agbaji

Last updated: June 21

The Ringer

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Bennedict Mathurin
6. Keegan Murray
7. Shaedon Sharpe
8. Dyson Daniels
9. Ousmane Dieng
10. Johnny Davis
11. Jalen Duren
12. Jeremy Sochan
13. A.J. Griffin
14. Ochai Agbaji

Last updated: June 17

The Athletic

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Bennedict Mathurin
7. Dyson Daniels
8. Ousmane Dieng
9. Johnny Davis
10. Shaedon Sharpe
11. A.J. Griffin
12. Jeremy Sochan
13. Jalen Duren
14. Jalen Williams

Last updated: June 21

SI.com

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Keegan Murray
5. Jaden Ivey
6. Bennedict Mathurin
7. Dyson Daniels
8. Shaedon Sharpe
9. Ousmane Dieng
10. Johnny Davis
11. Jalen Duren
12. Jeremy Sochan
13. A.J. Griffin
14. Mark Williams

Last updated: June 20

Yahoo Sports

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Shaedon Sharpe
7. Bennedict Mathurin
8. Dyson Daniels
9. Jalen Duren
10. Johnny Davis
11. A.J. Griffin
12. Malaki Branham
13. Jeremy Sochan
14. Ochai Agbaji

Last updated: June 20

Bleacher Report

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Bennedict Mathurin
7. Dyson Daniels
8. Shaedon Sharpe
9. Jalen Duren
10. Johnny Davis
11. Malaki Branham
12. A.J. Griffin
13. Mark Williams
14. Ochai Agbaji

Last updated: June 15

NetScouts Basketball

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Bennedict Mathurin
7. Dyson Daniels
8. Shaedon Sharpe
9. Jalen Duren
10. Johnny Davis
11. Jeremy Sochan
12. A.J. Griffin
13. Mark Williams
14. Ochai Agbaji

Last updated: June 20

CBS Sports(Gary Parrish)

1. Chet Holmgren
2. Jabari Smith
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Shaedon Sharpe
7. Bennedict Mathurin
8. A.J. Griffin
9. Jalen Duren
10. Ochai Agbaji
11. Johnny Davis
12. Dyson Daniels
13. Mark Williams
14. Malaki Branham

Last updated: June 20

CBS Sports (Kyle Boone)

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Dyson Daniels
6. Jeremy Sochan
7. Keegan Murray
8. A.J. Griffin
9. Bennedict Mathurin
10. Shaedon Sharpe
11. TyTy Washington Jr.
12. Ousmane Dieng
13. Johnny Davis
14. Ochai Agbaji

Last updated: June 20

SB Nation

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Shaedon Sharpe
7. Jalen Duren
8. Dyson Daniels
9. Bennedict Mathurin
10. Johnny Davis
11. A.J. Griffin
12. Ousmane Dieng
13. Mark Williams
14. Malaki Branham

Last updated: June 15

USA Today/FTW

1. Chet Holmgren
2. Jabari Smith
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Keegan Murray
5. Jaden Ivey
6. Dyson Daniels
7. Jalen Duren
8. Bennedict Mathurin
9. Jeremy Sochan
10. Johnny Davis
11. A.J. Griffin
12. Shaedon Sharpe
13. Ousmane Dieng
14. Malaki Branham

Last updated: June 21

Basketball News

1. Jabari Smith
2. Chet Holmgren
3. Paolo Banchero
4. Jaden Ivey
5. Keegan Murray
6. Bennedict Mathurin
7. Dyson Daniels
8. Shaedon Sharpe
9. Jeremy Sochan
10. Johnny Davis
11. A.J. Griffin
12. Mark Williams
13. Jalen Duren
14. Ousmane Dieng

Last updated: June 15

* * *

ESPN Insider: Jonathan Givony

The Ringer: Kevin O’Connor

The Athletic: Sam Vecenie

SI.com: Jeremy Woo

Bleacher Report: Jonathan Wasserman

Yahoo Sports: Krysten Peek

NetScouts Basketball: Carl Berman

CBS Sports: Kyle Boone, Gary Parrish

SB Nation: Ricky O’Donnell

USA Today / FTW: Bryan Kalbrosky

Basketball News: Matt Babcock

 

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